Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 12 points (Echelon Insights, April 3–9). A fragmented five-candidate GOP primary, with Feenstra at 41% but 32% undecided (Victory Enterprises, April 14–15), heightens uncertainty ahead of the June 2 primary and a final debate on May 19. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican underscores the competitive dynamics, as Sand's cross-appeal as state auditor bolsters his edge in this rare battleground for a Democratic flip since 2006.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIowa Governor Election Winner
Iowa Governor Election Winner
$36,067 Vol.
$36,067 Vol.

Democrat
67%

Republican
30%
$36,067 Vol.
$36,067 Vol.

Democrat
67%

Republican
30%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 12 points (Echelon Insights, April 3–9). A fragmented five-candidate GOP primary, with Feenstra at 41% but 32% undecided (Victory Enterprises, April 14–15), heightens uncertainty ahead of the June 2 primary and a final debate on May 19. Cook Political Report's shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican underscores the competitive dynamics, as Sand's cross-appeal as state auditor bolsters his edge in this rare battleground for a Democratic flip since 2006.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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