Recent merger talks between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party collapsed in early July 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and potential coalition partners. Hendel instead formed the short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance with former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper, which itself dissolved on September 5 when Tropper joined Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. With candidate lists due shortly before the October 27 election and Blue and White polling near or below the threshold, traders weigh the low odds of a last-minute joint slate against the parties’ shared center-right orientation and history of exploratory contacts. Any renewed negotiations before the deadline could shift the closely balanced implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThis market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent merger talks between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party collapsed in early July 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and potential coalition partners. Hendel instead formed the short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance with former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper, which itself dissolved on September 5 when Tropper joined Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. With candidate lists due shortly before the October 27 election and Blue and White polling near or below the threshold, traders weigh the low odds of a last-minute joint slate against the parties’ shared center-right orientation and history of exploratory contacts. Any renewed negotiations before the deadline could shift the closely balanced implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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