Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist party formed by the Labor-Meretz merger and led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats. This tight clustering, combined with the party’s need to clear the 3.25 percent threshold on its own list, has produced closely matched probabilities across the 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, and 14+ brackets. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing volatility in small-party support, potential last-minute technical alliances before the September 8 candidate-list deadline, and the broader contest between the Netanyahu-led coalition and opposition blocs, where even modest swings in turnout or undecided voters could shift The Democrats’ final tally.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update8-9 40%
12-13 36%
<8 34%
14+ 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<8
34%
8-9
40%
10-11
40%
12-13
36%
14+
29%
8-9 40%
12-13 36%
<8 34%
14+ 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$0 Vol.
34%
8-9
$0 Vol.
40%
10-11
$10 Vol.
40%
12-13
$0 Vol.
36%
14+
$40 Vol.
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist party formed by the Labor-Meretz merger and led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats. This tight clustering, combined with the party’s need to clear the 3.25 percent threshold on its own list, has produced closely matched probabilities across the 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, and 14+ brackets. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing volatility in small-party support, potential last-minute technical alliances before the September 8 candidate-list deadline, and the broader contest between the Netanyahu-led coalition and opposition blocs, where even modest swings in turnout or undecided voters could shift The Democrats’ final tally.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$50Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist party formed by the Labor-Meretz merger and led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats. This tight clustering, combined with the party’s need to clear the 3.25 percent threshold on its own list, has produced closely matched probabilities across the 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, and 14+ brackets. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing volatility in small-party support, potential last-minute technical alliances before the September 8 candidate-list deadline, and the broader contest between the Netanyahu-led coalition and opposition blocs, where even modest swings in turnout or undecided voters could shift The Democrats’ final tally.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$50Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist party formed by the Labor-Meretz merger and led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats. This tight clustering, combined with the party’s need to clear the 3.25 percent threshold on its own list, has produced closely matched probabilities across the 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, and 14+ brackets. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing volatility in small-party support, potential last-minute technical alliances before the September 8 candidate-list deadline, and the broader contest between the Netanyahu-led coalition and opposition blocs, where even modest swings in turnout or undecided voters could shift The Democrats’ final tally.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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