Official Hong Kong Observatory temperature readings and regional station data confirm an overnight minimum near 28°C across urban and airport sites, consistent with the prevailing warm, humid air mass under a broad low-pressure trough bringing light west-southwesterly winds and scattered showers. This keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight, with dew points near 26°C limiting radiational cooling and preventing drops to 27°C or below. Model guidance and climatological August baselines align with this range, supporting the market's 99.9% implied probability for 28°C as the daily low. A sudden, unforecasted surge in onshore flow or heavy localized rain cooling could theoretically push readings lower, though current observations and short-term forecasts indicate low likelihood before the calendar day ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
28°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,191 Vol.
$22,191 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,191 Vol.
$22,191 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory temperature readings and regional station data confirm an overnight minimum near 28°C across urban and airport sites, consistent with the prevailing warm, humid air mass under a broad low-pressure trough bringing light west-southwesterly winds and scattered showers. This keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight, with dew points near 26°C limiting radiational cooling and preventing drops to 27°C or below. Model guidance and climatological August baselines align with this range, supporting the market's 99.9% implied probability for 28°C as the daily low. A sudden, unforecasted surge in onshore flow or heavy localized rain cooling could theoretically push readings lower, though current observations and short-term forecasts indicate low likelihood before the calendar day ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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