Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 27?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Vol.
$14,282 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Vol.
$14,282 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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