Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 18 likely between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions under light southwesterly winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C and 11°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-September under a building high-pressure influence. Updated runs show limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover, with any warmer bias tied to increased humidity or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for confirmation ahead of overnight observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 18?
12°C 46%
11°C 27%
8°C 24%
13°C 20%
6°C or below
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
24%
9°C
14%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
46%
13°C
21%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 46%
11°C 27%
8°C 24%
13°C 20%
6°C or below
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
24%
9°C
14%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
46%
13°C
21%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 18 likely between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions under light southwesterly winds that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C and 11°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-September under a building high-pressure influence. Updated runs show limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover, with any warmer bias tied to increased humidity or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for confirmation ahead of overnight observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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