**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity (Habagat) and associated cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong winds are the main drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 24–27°C for August 30.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity that limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and wind mixing add slight variability. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 25–26°C, but active monsoon conditions this week have produced a narrow observed range, resulting in closely matched market-implied probabilities (24–27°C each near 41–42%). Traders are pricing model disagreement on exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which directly affect how much the mercury can dip before sunrise. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
22°C 79%
26°C 43%
27°C 42%
25°C 41%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
2%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
43%
27°C
42%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 79%
26°C 43%
27°C 42%
25°C 41%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
79%
23°C
$6 Vol.
2%
24°C
$6 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
41%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity (Habagat) and associated cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong winds are the main drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 24–27°C for August 30.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity that limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and wind mixing add slight variability. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 25–26°C, but active monsoon conditions this week have produced a narrow observed range, resulting in closely matched market-implied probabilities (24–27°C each near 41–42%). Traders are pricing model disagreement on exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which directly affect how much the mercury can dip before sunrise. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$542Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity (Habagat) and associated cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong winds are the main drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 24–27°C for August 30.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity that limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and wind mixing add slight variability. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 25–26°C, but active monsoon conditions this week have produced a narrow observed range, resulting in closely matched market-implied probabilities (24–27°C each near 41–42%). Traders are pricing model disagreement on exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which directly affect how much the mercury can dip before sunrise. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$542Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity (Habagat) and associated cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong winds are the main drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 24–27°C for August 30.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate nighttime lows near 24–26°C amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity that limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and wind mixing add slight variability. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 25–26°C, but active monsoon conditions this week have produced a narrow observed range, resulting in closely matched market-implied probabilities (24–27°C each near 41–42%). Traders are pricing model disagreement on exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which directly affect how much the mercury can dip before sunrise. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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