Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cool night on August 27 driven by a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Synoptic guidance places the minimum around 10–12°C, about 1–1.5°C below climatological norms for late August, with some model runs allowing localized drops toward 8–9°C under optimal clear conditions. Trader consensus around the 6°C-or-below and 9°C thresholds reflects uncertainty in the precise radiative minimum, influenced by small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind mixing that can shift the overnight low by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 52%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
48%
8°C
50%
9°C
45%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
45%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
52%
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 52%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
48%
8°C
50%
9°C
45%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
45%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cool night on August 27 driven by a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Synoptic guidance places the minimum around 10–12°C, about 1–1.5°C below climatological norms for late August, with some model runs allowing localized drops toward 8–9°C under optimal clear conditions. Trader consensus around the 6°C-or-below and 9°C thresholds reflects uncertainty in the precise radiative minimum, influenced by small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind mixing that can shift the overnight low by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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