Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid a moderating airmass following an early-week heat surge. Increased cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while surface humidity and urban heat-island effects add slight upward bias. These factors explain the tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or below should stronger winds or clearer skies develop. Updated ensemble guidance and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
20°C 40%
19°C 39%
18°C or below 22%
21°C 5%
BAGO
$13,785 Vol.
BAGO
$13,785 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
25%
19°C
24%
20°C
40%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
19°C 39%
18°C or below 22%
21°C 5%
BAGO
$13,785 Vol.
BAGO
$13,785 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,109 Vol.
25%
19°C
$2,212 Vol.
24%
20°C
$668 Vol.
40%
21°C
$907 Vol.
5%
22°C
$801 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2,405 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,346 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$638 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid a moderating airmass following an early-week heat surge. Increased cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while surface humidity and urban heat-island effects add slight upward bias. These factors explain the tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or below should stronger winds or clearer skies develop. Updated ensemble guidance and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$13,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid a moderating airmass following an early-week heat surge. Increased cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while surface humidity and urban heat-island effects add slight upward bias. These factors explain the tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or below should stronger winds or clearer skies develop. Updated ensemble guidance and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid a moderating airmass following an early-week heat surge. Increased cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while surface humidity and urban heat-island effects add slight upward bias. These factors explain the tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or below should stronger winds or clearer skies develop. Updated ensemble guidance and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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