Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France and international ensembles, indicate an overnight minimum of 13°C in Paris on June 14 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market's 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and high-resolution model runs showing the temperature bottoming near that threshold just before dawn, consistent with climatological June lows centered around 12–14°C but sharpened by the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could alter radiative cooling. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result remain limited to unexpected model divergence, such as stronger subsidence or a brief frontal passage raising the low by 1–2°C, though consensus across runs keeps such adjustments improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Vol.
100%
14°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France and international ensembles, indicate an overnight minimum of 13°C in Paris on June 14 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market's 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and high-resolution model runs showing the temperature bottoming near that threshold just before dawn, consistent with climatological June lows centered around 12–14°C but sharpened by the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could alter radiative cooling. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result remain limited to unexpected model divergence, such as stronger subsidence or a brief frontal passage raising the low by 1–2°C, though consensus across runs keeps such adjustments improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,364Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France and international ensembles, indicate an overnight minimum of 13°C in Paris on June 14 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market's 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and high-resolution model runs showing the temperature bottoming near that threshold just before dawn, consistent with climatological June lows centered around 12–14°C but sharpened by the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could alter radiative cooling. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result remain limited to unexpected model divergence, such as stronger subsidence or a brief frontal passage raising the low by 1–2°C, though consensus across runs keeps such adjustments improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,364Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France and international ensembles, indicate an overnight minimum of 13°C in Paris on June 14 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market's 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and high-resolution model runs showing the temperature bottoming near that threshold just before dawn, consistent with climatological June lows centered around 12–14°C but sharpened by the absence of significant cloud cover or advection that could alter radiative cooling. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result remain limited to unexpected model divergence, such as stronger subsidence or a brief frontal passage raising the low by 1–2°C, though consensus across runs keeps such adjustments improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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