Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including models aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 30 will likely fall between 21–23°C. This positioning stems from the city's coastal location on the Shandong Peninsula, where the Yellow Sea exerts a strong moderating influence that limits radiative cooling, combined with persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light northerly winds. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22°C, providing context for the market's emphasis on that threshold. Patchy rain or overcast conditions expected overnight further support milder minimums, while any clearing or stronger cold advection could push values toward 19°C or below. Upcoming model runs and official CMA updates will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
19°C or below
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
12%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
19°C or below
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
12%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including models aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 30 will likely fall between 21–23°C. This positioning stems from the city's coastal location on the Shandong Peninsula, where the Yellow Sea exerts a strong moderating influence that limits radiative cooling, combined with persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light northerly winds. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22°C, providing context for the market's emphasis on that threshold. Patchy rain or overcast conditions expected overnight further support milder minimums, while any clearing or stronger cold advection could push values toward 19°C or below. Upcoming model runs and official CMA updates will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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