Global forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show tight convergence on a 19 °C overnight minimum for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable maritime air under neutral spring conditions and limited radiative cooling. This model agreement underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology typically yields Shanghai lows between 17 °C and 21 °C, with modest variations driven by boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow a slightly warmer reading, while an unexpected weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any late shifts in these variables before final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$11,143 Vol.
$11,143 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$11,143 Vol.
$11,143 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDGlobal forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show tight convergence on a 19 °C overnight minimum for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable maritime air under neutral spring conditions and limited radiative cooling. This model agreement underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology typically yields Shanghai lows between 17 °C and 21 °C, with modest variations driven by boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow a slightly warmer reading, while an unexpected weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any late shifts in these variables before final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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