Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 Vol.
$12,970 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 Vol.
$12,970 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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