Recent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.00–4.49% band for the full-year rate. Core inflation also moderated to 4.26%, while Banxico’s March 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% reflects confidence that non-core volatility from agricultural prices is transitory. Economists have revised their year-end 2026 forecast modestly higher to 4.37%, still consistent with convergence toward the 3% target. Persistent services pressures and base effects from early-year fiscal measures continue to cap downside risks, supporting the market-implied distribution where the leading range captures roughly half of all probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.00% to 4.49% 47%
4.50% to 4.99% 29%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.50%+ 8%
$41,329 Vol.
$41,329 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
27%
4.00% to 4.49%
47%
4.50% to 4.99%
29%
5.00% to 5.49%
13%
5.50%+
8%
4.00% to 4.49% 47%
4.50% to 4.99% 29%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.50%+ 8%
$41,329 Vol.
$41,329 Vol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 Vol.
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,130 Vol.
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,963 Vol.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$400 Vol.
27%
4.00% to 4.49%
$503 Vol.
47%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,538 Vol.
29%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,261 Vol.
13%
5.50%+
$5,040 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.00–4.49% band for the full-year rate. Core inflation also moderated to 4.26%, while Banxico’s March 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% reflects confidence that non-core volatility from agricultural prices is transitory. Economists have revised their year-end 2026 forecast modestly higher to 4.37%, still consistent with convergence toward the 3% target. Persistent services pressures and base effects from early-year fiscal measures continue to cap downside risks, supporting the market-implied distribution where the leading range captures roughly half of all probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$41,329Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.00–4.49% band for the full-year rate. Core inflation also moderated to 4.26%, while Banxico’s March 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% reflects confidence that non-core volatility from agricultural prices is transitory. Economists have revised their year-end 2026 forecast modestly higher to 4.37%, still consistent with convergence toward the 3% target. Persistent services pressures and base effects from early-year fiscal measures continue to cap downside risks, supporting the market-implied distribution where the leading range captures roughly half of all probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$41,329Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent easing in Mexico’s headline inflation to 4.45% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 4.59% in March, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.00–4.49% band for the full-year rate. Core inflation also moderated to 4.26%, while Banxico’s March 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% reflects confidence that non-core volatility from agricultural prices is transitory. Economists have revised their year-end 2026 forecast modestly higher to 4.37%, still consistent with convergence toward the 3% target. Persistent services pressures and base effects from early-year fiscal measures continue to cap downside risks, supporting the market-implied distribution where the leading range captures roughly half of all probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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