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Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia

icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia
Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia

Janez Janša 93.7%

Anže Logar 1.5%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,018,919 Vol.

Janez Janša 93.7%

Anže Logar 1.5%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,018,919 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$777,745 Vol.

94%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$991,963 Vol.

1%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$223,379 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$658,431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$18,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,240 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Janez Janša holds a commanding position in Slovenia's ongoing government formation process following the March 2026 parliamentary election, where his Slovenian Democratic Party secured 28 seats just behind Robert Golob's Freedom Movement. Golob's subsequent failure to assemble a coalition in April prompted him to concede opposition status, shifting momentum toward Janša's right-leaning bloc and smaller centre-right partners capable of reaching the 46-seat majority threshold. Traders' consensus at 93.7 percent reflects expectations of his imminent nomination by lawmakers and National Assembly confirmation. Potential challenges include final coalition sticking points, partner withdrawals, or parliamentary defeat that could trigger renewed talks or snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,018,919
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 22, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Janez Janša holds a commanding position in Slovenia's ongoing government formation process following the March 2026 parliamentary election, where his Slovenian Democratic Party secured 28 seats just behind Robert Golob's Freedom Movement. Golob's subsequent failure to assemble a coalition in April prompted him to concede opposition status, shifting momentum toward Janša's right-leaning bloc and smaller centre-right partners capable of reaching the 46-seat majority threshold. Traders' consensus at 93.7 percent reflects expectations of his imminent nomination by lawmakers and National Assembly confirmation. Potential challenges include final coalition sticking points, partner withdrawals, or parliamentary defeat that could trigger renewed talks or snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,018,919
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 22, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Janez Janša" sa 94%, sinusundan ng "Anže Logar" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 94¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia" ay naka-generate ng $3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia" ay "Janez Janša" sa 94%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Anže Logar" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng Slovenia" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.