Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Leads in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside a tightening race in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have strengthened expectations for a third win even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations completed in early May clarified the field and reinforced localized organizational advantages, while broader voter sentiment favoring the ruling Democratic Party continues to limit wider gains. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting regional dynamics ahead of the vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 49%
2 32%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 Vol.
$39,171 Vol.
0
6%
1
8%
2
32%
3
43%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 32%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 Vol.
$39,171 Vol.
0
6%
1
8%
2
32%
3
43%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Leads in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside a tightening race in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have strengthened expectations for a third win even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations completed in early May clarified the field and reinforced localized organizational advantages, while broader voter sentiment favoring the ruling Democratic Party continues to limit wider gains. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting regional dynamics ahead of the vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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