Recent polling from late April and early May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular vote race, each near 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains under new leadership following François Legault’s January resignation. These dynamics, combined with regional voting patterns under the first-past-the-post system, underpin the current trader consensus that positions the Parti Québécois ahead. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, and the Coalition Avenir Québec holds third place, with smaller parties trailing. Scheduled campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout across key ridings over the coming months could still alter the balance before the October election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.

PQ
59%

PLQ
29%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.

PQ
59%

PLQ
29%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from late April and early May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular vote race, each near 30 percent support, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains under new leadership following François Legault’s January resignation. These dynamics, combined with regional voting patterns under the first-past-the-post system, underpin the current trader consensus that positions the Parti Québécois ahead. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, and the Coalition Avenir Québec holds third place, with smaller parties trailing. Scheduled campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout across key ridings over the coming months could still alter the balance before the October election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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