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Elections·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Elections·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 86%

Felipe Curi 7.8%

Douglas Ruas 3.7%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$192,680 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 86%

Felipe Curi 7.8%

Douglas Ruas 3.7%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$192,680 Vol.

Eduardo Paes

$13,522 Vol.

86%

Felipe Curi

$11,612 Vol.

8%

Douglas Ruas

$3,438 Vol.

4%

Dr. Luizinho

$5,164 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Pazuello

$1,517 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio Motta

$2,846 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Garotinho

$3,788 Vol.

<1%

André Ceciliano

$6,397 Vol.

<1%

Wilson Witzel

$3,883 Vol.

<1%

André Português

$1,699 Vol.

<1%

Fred Pacheco

$126,992 Vol.

<1%

Nicola Miccione

$4,287 Vol.

<1%

Lindbergh Farias

$2,908 Vol.

<1%

Chico Machado

$4,629 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$192,680
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$192,680
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Eduardo Paes" sa 86%, sinusundan ng "Felipe Curi" sa 8%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 86¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $192.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" ay "Eduardo Paes" sa 86%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Felipe Curi" sa 8%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.