Recent April 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.6 percent year-over-year rise—up from 2.2 percent in March and the highest reading since July 2024—has anchored trader sentiment around the 2.4–2.6 percent annual inflation band on Polymarket. Surging global oil prices amid Middle East tensions drove the headline acceleration, prompting the Bank of Korea’s deputy governor to signal a shift toward more hawkish forward guidance and potential rate hikes later this year. With Bloomberg and IMF forecasts now centering near 2.5 percent for full-year 2026, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.1–2.3 percent and 2.4–2.6 percent ranges, reflecting uncertainty over how quickly energy pass-through will ease versus moderating core trends near 2.2 percent. May CPI and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent the key near-term catalysts that could further sharpen these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.9%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
31%
3.0%+
32%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.9%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
31%
3.0%+
32%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.6 percent year-over-year rise—up from 2.2 percent in March and the highest reading since July 2024—has anchored trader sentiment around the 2.4–2.6 percent annual inflation band on Polymarket. Surging global oil prices amid Middle East tensions drove the headline acceleration, prompting the Bank of Korea’s deputy governor to signal a shift toward more hawkish forward guidance and potential rate hikes later this year. With Bloomberg and IMF forecasts now centering near 2.5 percent for full-year 2026, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.1–2.3 percent and 2.4–2.6 percent ranges, reflecting uncertainty over how quickly energy pass-through will ease versus moderating core trends near 2.2 percent. May CPI and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent the key near-term catalysts that could further sharpen these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong