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icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden

icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 91%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 4.3%

Moderate Party (M) 3.6%

Citizens' Coalition (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,101,985 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 91%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 4.3%

Moderate Party (M) 3.6%

Citizens' Coalition (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,101,985 Vol.

icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$36,469 Vol.

91%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$513,900 Vol.

4%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$380,469 Vol.

4%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$14,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$95,897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$14,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$15,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$16,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberal (L)

Liberal (L)

$14,829 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party holds a steady lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with support near 33 percent compared to 19-20 percent for the Sweden Democrats and 17-18 percent for the Moderate Party. This margin under the proportional representation system and 4 percent threshold has produced trader consensus favoring the Social Democrats as the largest party in the Riksdag, with implied probabilities above 90 percent. Recent surveys from multiple firms show little movement in these figures, and seat projections place the red-green bloc slightly ahead of the current government bloc. Historical precedent as Sweden's largest party further supports this positioning. Late developments such as shifts in voter focus on the economy or immigration, along with any major party controversies, remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,101,985
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party holds a steady lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with support near 33 percent compared to 19-20 percent for the Sweden Democrats and 17-18 percent for the Moderate Party. This margin under the proportional representation system and 4 percent threshold has produced trader consensus favoring the Social Democrats as the largest party in the Riksdag, with implied probabilities above 90 percent. Recent surveys from multiple firms show little movement in these figures, and seat projections place the red-green bloc slightly ahead of the current government bloc. Historical precedent as Sweden's largest party further supports this positioning. Late developments such as shifts in voter focus on the economy or immigration, along with any major party controversies, remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,101,985
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" sa 91%, sinusundan ng "Sweden Democrats (SD)" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 91¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden" ay naka-generate ng $1.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden" ay "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" sa 91%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sweden Democrats (SD)" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Sweden" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.