Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint advanced from her August 11 primary with 98.3% of the vote and holds a substantial lead in available polling for Vermont’s at-large House seat. The district has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint securing reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points. Her Republican opponent, Gerald Malloy, faces the same structural headwinds that have limited GOP performance in statewide contests. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A late surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters, major shifts in national economic conditions, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$26,340 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint advanced from her August 11 primary with 98.3% of the vote and holds a substantial lead in available polling for Vermont’s at-large House seat. The district has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint securing reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points. Her Republican opponent, Gerald Malloy, faces the same structural headwinds that have limited GOP performance in statewide contests. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A late surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters, major shifts in national economic conditions, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,989Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint advanced from her August 11 primary with 98.3% of the vote and holds a substantial lead in available polling for Vermont’s at-large House seat. The district has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint securing reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points. Her Republican opponent, Gerald Malloy, faces the same structural headwinds that have limited GOP performance in statewide contests. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A late surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters, major shifts in national economic conditions, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,989Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint advanced from her August 11 primary with 98.3% of the vote and holds a substantial lead in available polling for Vermont’s at-large House seat. The district has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint securing reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points. Her Republican opponent, Gerald Malloy, faces the same structural headwinds that have limited GOP performance in statewide contests. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A late surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters, major shifts in national economic conditions, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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