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icon for Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?
Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?

icon for Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?
Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?

$1,846,251 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,846,251 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5.5%

$55,489 Vol.

3%

↑ 5.25%

$142,579 Vol.

3%

↑ 5.0%

$19,789 Vol.

3%

↑ 4.75%

$80,664 Vol.

4%

↑ 4.5%

$40,795 Vol.

25%

↑ 4.25%

$130,161 Vol.

82%

↓ 3.25%

$81,643 Vol.

4%

↓ 3.0%

$320,110 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.75%

$366,465 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.5%

$225,788 Vol.

1%

↓ 2.25%

$41,840 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.0%

$21,380 Vol.

3%

↓ 1.75%

$13,136 Vol.

1%

↓ 1.5%

$28,330 Vol.

2%

↓ 1.25%

$5,168 Vol.

2%

↓ 1.0%

$2,331 Vol.

3%

↓ 0.75%

$741 Vol.

1%

↓ 0.5%

$107,217 Vol.

3%

↓ 0.25%

$132,417 Vol.

2%

↓ 0%

$21,203 Vol.

2%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Monetary Committee’s unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent—the first hike since 2023—reflects entrenched inflation pressures, with headline PCE near 3.7 percent and core measures around 3.2-3.4 percent amid elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Solid GDP growth near 2.3-2.4 percent, unemployment holding at 4.1 percent, resilient consumer spending, and robust productivity have given policymakers room to prioritize price stability over easing, consistent with the median dot-plot projection of roughly 4.1 percent through year-end 2026 and into 2027. Trader sentiment on Polymarket markets for rate paths before 2027 incorporates these data releases and the strong labor market backdrop, pricing limited scope for cuts absent sharper disinflation or labor-market deterioration. Key near-term catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and PCE prints that could shift expectations for additional tightening or a prolonged hold.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,846,251
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Monetary Committee’s unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent—the first hike since 2023—reflects entrenched inflation pressures, with headline PCE near 3.7 percent and core measures around 3.2-3.4 percent amid elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Solid GDP growth near 2.3-2.4 percent, unemployment holding at 4.1 percent, resilient consumer spending, and robust productivity have given policymakers room to prioritize price stability over easing, consistent with the median dot-plot projection of roughly 4.1 percent through year-end 2026 and into 2027. Trader sentiment on Polymarket markets for rate paths before 2027 incorporates these data releases and the strong labor market backdrop, pricing limited scope for cuts absent sharper disinflation or labor-market deterioration. Key near-term catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and PCE prints that could shift expectations for additional tightening or a prolonged hold.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,846,251
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "↓ 3.5%" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "↑ 4.25%" sa 82%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $1.8 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay "↓ 3.5%" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "↑ 4.25%" sa 82%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ano ang mangyayari sa Fed Rate bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.