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icon for Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?
Politika·Gitnang Silangan

Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?

icon for Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?
Politika·Gitnang Silangan

Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,642,490 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,642,490 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$71,393 Vol.

10%

Lebanon

$76,914 Vol.

8%

Somaliland

$116,845 Vol.

8%

Jordan

$9,893 Vol.

7%

Syria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Saudi Arabia

$332,109 Vol.

7%

Egypt

$7,393 Vol.

13%

Qatar

$8,773 Vol.

5%

Azerbaijan

$175,739 Vol.

5%

Oman

$182,106 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Israel's ambassador to the UAE highlight Kuwait as a leading candidate to join the Abraham Accords within four to six months, driven by shared security concerns over Iranian attacks and Houthi threats in the Gulf. Regional military coordination through U.S. CENTCOM, including indirect Israel-Saudi contacts on intelligence sharing, reflects pragmatic alignment among Gulf states amid ongoing conflicts. Saudi Arabia's normalization remains stalled pending Palestinian statehood progress and faces domestic constraints, while Trump administration pressure continues for broader accessions involving Qatar, Oman, or others. Kazakhstan's 2025 entry and Somaliland's recognition provide recent precedents, but timeline pressures before 2027 favor smaller Gulf or peripheral actors over major holdouts. Trader focus centers on verifiable diplomatic signals and security catalysts rather than long-term geopolitical shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,642,490
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Israel's ambassador to the UAE highlight Kuwait as a leading candidate to join the Abraham Accords within four to six months, driven by shared security concerns over Iranian attacks and Houthi threats in the Gulf. Regional military coordination through U.S. CENTCOM, including indirect Israel-Saudi contacts on intelligence sharing, reflects pragmatic alignment among Gulf states amid ongoing conflicts. Saudi Arabia's normalization remains stalled pending Palestinian statehood progress and faces domestic constraints, while Trump administration pressure continues for broader accessions involving Qatar, Oman, or others. Kazakhstan's 2025 entry and Somaliland's recognition provide recent precedents, but timeline pressures before 2027 favor smaller Gulf or peripheral actors over major holdouts. Trader focus centers on verifiable diplomatic signals and security catalysts rather than long-term geopolitical shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,642,490
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

icon for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%
icon for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

6%
icon for Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

10%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Egypt" sa 13%, sinusundan ng "Kuwait" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 13¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 13% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $1.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?" ay "Egypt" sa 13%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 13% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kuwait" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling bansa ang sasali sa mga Kasunduan ni Abraham bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.