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icon for Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?
Politika·Trump

Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?

icon for Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?
Politika·Trump

Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,409,892 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,409,892 Vol.

Polymarket

Dan Scavino

$137 Vol.

29%

Pete Hegseth

$128,262 Vol.

26%

Lee Zeldin

$32,279 Vol.

26%

Howard Lutnick

$94,861 Vol.

23%

Susie Wiles

$56,667 Vol.

20%

Kash Patel

$306,169 Vol.

18%

David Sacks

$9,216 Vol.

18%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$91,347 Vol.

17%

Kristi Noem

$98,126 Vol.

15%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,633 Vol.

22%

John Ratcliffe

$572 Vol.

12%

Russell Vought

$284 Vol.

16%

Tom Homan

$253 Vol.

19%

Marco Rubio

$20,390 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$9,208 Vol.

6%

Stephen Miller

$4,151 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump’s second-term administration has recorded unusually high turnover among Senate-confirmed officials, with 27 departures in roughly 18 months—more than double the pace of his first term—driven by firings over enforcement shortfalls and internal clashes, plus resignations tied to personal circumstances or investigations. Notable 2026 exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, and Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, alongside multiple Treasury and Defense Department officials. Ongoing friction in the Pentagon, Treasury leadership instability, and the approach of the 2026 midterms continue to factor into assessments of additional changes before December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,409,892
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump’s second-term administration has recorded unusually high turnover among Senate-confirmed officials, with 27 departures in roughly 18 months—more than double the pace of his first term—driven by firings over enforcement shortfalls and internal clashes, plus resignations tied to personal circumstances or investigations. Notable 2026 exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, and Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, alongside multiple Treasury and Defense Department officials. Ongoing friction in the Pentagon, Treasury leadership instability, and the approach of the 2026 midterms continue to factor into assessments of additional changes before December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,409,892
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%
icon for Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

6%
Oo
icon for Magbibitiw ba si Trump bago ang Disyembre 31, 2026?

Magbibitiw ba si Trump bago ang Disyembre 31, 2026?

3%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Karoline Leavitt" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Tulsi Gabbard" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay "Karoline Leavitt" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tulsi Gabbard" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.