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Politika·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

icon for Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Politika·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

BAGO
Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$412 Vol.

Polymarket

John Fetterman

$0 Vol.

45%

Mitch McConnell

$52 Vol.

49%

Lisa Murkowski

$43 Vol.

45%

Susan Collins

$35 Vol.

47%

John Curtis

$67 Vol.

48%

Dan Sullivan

$38 Vol.

47%

Rand Paul

$36 Vol.

46%

John Cornyn

$48 Vol.

48%

Bill Cassidy

$43 Vol.

45%

Thom Tillis

$50 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump's June 11 nomination of Jay Clayton, the sitting U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence has set the confirmation process in motion. The Senate Intelligence Committee scheduled his hearing for June 17, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly once paperwork arrives. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Thom Tillis have praised Clayton's record and urged swift approval. Democrats have raised questions about the timing amid disputes over acting DNI Bill Pulte and FISA reauthorization deadlines. Confirmation requires a Senate majority; the rapid timeline and cross-aisle reactions to the nominee's background will shape trader assessments of individual senator positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$412
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump's June 11 nomination of Jay Clayton, the sitting U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence has set the confirmation process in motion. The Senate Intelligence Committee scheduled his hearing for June 17, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly once paperwork arrives. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Thom Tillis have praised Clayton's record and urged swift approval. Democrats have raised questions about the timing amid disputes over acting DNI Bill Pulte and FISA reauthorization deadlines. Confirmation requires a Senate majority; the rapid timeline and cross-aisle reactions to the nominee's background will shape trader assessments of individual senator positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$412
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mitch McConnell" sa 49%, sinusundan ng "Thom Tillis" sa 49%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 49¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 12, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

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Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" ay "Mitch McConnell" sa 49%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Thom Tillis" sa 49%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

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