**Strong trader consensus around 90.5% that the Climate Clock’s 1.5°C deadline will not change by December 31, 2026, rests on the clock’s reliance on annual or quarterly-updated global CO₂ emissions trends and carbon budget estimates from sources such as the Global Carbon Project and IPCC assessments.** Emissions have followed a relatively steady trajectory in recent years, with only modest annual changes insufficient to meaningfully alter the remaining budget or projected crossing date (currently near mid-to-late 2029 on prominent versions). No major new observational data releases, revised carbon budget assessments, or abrupt policy-driven emissions shifts are anticipated in the final months of 2026 that would trigger an update. While a sudden acceleration in renewable deployment or an unforeseen scientific revision to the 1.5°C budget could theoretically move the date, such developments remain low-probability within the narrow timeframe given current measurement methodologies and historical update patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
10% tsansa
$12,981 Vol.
$12,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
10% tsansa
$12,981 Vol.
$12,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.**Strong trader consensus around 90.5% that the Climate Clock’s 1.5°C deadline will not change by December 31, 2026, rests on the clock’s reliance on annual or quarterly-updated global CO₂ emissions trends and carbon budget estimates from sources such as the Global Carbon Project and IPCC assessments.** Emissions have followed a relatively steady trajectory in recent years, with only modest annual changes insufficient to meaningfully alter the remaining budget or projected crossing date (currently near mid-to-late 2029 on prominent versions). No major new observational data releases, revised carbon budget assessments, or abrupt policy-driven emissions shifts are anticipated in the final months of 2026 that would trigger an update. While a sudden acceleration in renewable deployment or an unforeseen scientific revision to the 1.5°C budget could theoretically move the date, such developments remain low-probability within the narrow timeframe given current measurement methodologies and historical update patterns.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$12,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.**Strong trader consensus around 90.5% that the Climate Clock’s 1.5°C deadline will not change by December 31, 2026, rests on the clock’s reliance on annual or quarterly-updated global CO₂ emissions trends and carbon budget estimates from sources such as the Global Carbon Project and IPCC assessments.** Emissions have followed a relatively steady trajectory in recent years, with only modest annual changes insufficient to meaningfully alter the remaining budget or projected crossing date (currently near mid-to-late 2029 on prominent versions). No major new observational data releases, revised carbon budget assessments, or abrupt policy-driven emissions shifts are anticipated in the final months of 2026 that would trigger an update. While a sudden acceleration in renewable deployment or an unforeseen scientific revision to the 1.5°C budget could theoretically move the date, such developments remain low-probability within the narrow timeframe given current measurement methodologies and historical update patterns.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$12,981Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...**Strong trader consensus around 90.5% that the Climate Clock’s 1.5°C deadline will not change by December 31, 2026, rests on the clock’s reliance on annual or quarterly-updated global CO₂ emissions trends and carbon budget estimates from sources such as the Global Carbon Project and IPCC assessments.** Emissions have followed a relatively steady trajectory in recent years, with only modest annual changes insufficient to meaningfully alter the remaining budget or projected crossing date (currently near mid-to-late 2029 on prominent versions). No major new observational data releases, revised carbon budget assessments, or abrupt policy-driven emissions shifts are anticipated in the final months of 2026 that would trigger an update. While a sudden acceleration in renewable deployment or an unforeseen scientific revision to the 1.5°C budget could theoretically move the date, such developments remain low-probability within the narrow timeframe given current measurement methodologies and historical update patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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