Stalled progress on Ukraine negotiations following the inconclusive 2025 Alaska summit, combined with U.S. diplomatic bandwidth consumed by the Iran conflict, has left bilateral channels largely limited to periodic phone calls without advancing to another in-person encounter. This dynamic underpins the trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 51.5 percent, while positioning China at 40.5 percent as the leading alternative venue should talks resume, reflecting its neutral diplomatic profile and economic leverage. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or European sites stem from domestic political constraints and lack of recent momentum, with markets pricing in ongoing uncertainty around any 2026 timeline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 51%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus 1.1%
$776,489 Vol.
$776,489 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
51%

China
41%

Russia
4%

Belarus
1%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 51%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus 1.1%
$776,489 Vol.
$776,489 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
51%

China
41%

Russia
4%

Belarus
1%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled progress on Ukraine negotiations following the inconclusive 2025 Alaska summit, combined with U.S. diplomatic bandwidth consumed by the Iran conflict, has left bilateral channels largely limited to periodic phone calls without advancing to another in-person encounter. This dynamic underpins the trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 51.5 percent, while positioning China at 40.5 percent as the leading alternative venue should talks resume, reflecting its neutral diplomatic profile and economic leverage. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or European sites stem from domestic political constraints and lack of recent momentum, with markets pricing in ongoing uncertainty around any 2026 timeline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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