Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3rd richest person on December 31?
3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page 40.4%
Elon Musk 29.9%
Warren Buffett 10.6%
Larry Ellison 9.7%
$23,517 Обс.
$23,517 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Larry Page
40%
Elon Musk
30%
Warren Buffett
11%
Larry Ellison
30%
Bernard Arnault
3%
Jensen Huang
1%
Steve Ballmer
<1%
Mark Zuckerberg
<1%
Jeff Bezos
32%
Sergey Brin
48%
Larry Page 40.4%
Elon Musk 29.9%
Warren Buffett 10.6%
Larry Ellison 9.7%
$23,517 Обс.
$23,517 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Larry Page
$6,629 Обс.
40%
Elon Musk
$306 Обс.
30%
Warren Buffett
$806 Обс.
11%
Larry Ellison
$338 Обс.
30%
Bernard Arnault
$267 Обс.
3%
Jensen Huang
$715 Обс.
1%
Steve Ballmer
$13,218 Обс.
<1%
Mark Zuckerberg
$547 Обс.
<1%
Jeff Bezos
$320 Обс.
32%
Sergey Brin
$371 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,517Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Обсяг
$23,517Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for third-richest by December 31, 2026, with Sergey Brin holding a slim 46% implied probability edge over Larry Page at 42.6%, driven by Alphabet's explosive Q1 earnings rally in late April that propelled shares up 10% on surging Google Cloud revenue, vaulting Brin to current Forbes #3 at $300B while Page sits at #2 with $326B. Elon Musk leads overall at $826B but carries 40.8% odds for slipping to third amid Tesla's volatility, as Jeff Bezos ($274B, Amazon AWS momentum) and Larry Ellison ($244B, Oracle AI cloud gains) lurk closely at 36% and 34.3%. Key swings hinge on summer earnings reports, AI product rollouts, and tech stock trajectories through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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