Musk's explicit May 2025 commitment to remain Tesla CEO for at least five more years, reinforced by his controlling Class B voting shares that shield him from board removal, drives the 94.5% market-implied odds he stays through 2026. Traders see his focus on advancing Tesla's AI, robotaxi, and full self-driving platforms as aligning personal and company interests, with no credible board challenges or leadership transitions reported since. While strong consensus reflects this structural and strategic lock-in, realistic risks include sudden health issues, major regulatory setbacks on autonomous tech, or an unexpected shift in his multiple ventures pulling focus elsewhere before year-end.