**Trader consensus reflects the structural and historical barriers to removing any STF justice.** Impeachment requires Senate approval by a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) followed by conviction, a threshold never met for an STF minister in Brazilian history. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates, including calls targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has produced multiple formal requests, yet these face entrenched institutional resistance and lack the cross-party support needed for advancement. STF decano Gilmar Mendes has publicly characterized the push as an electoral banner that would encounter “immense difficulties” even with Senate turnover after the October 2026 elections. With the current congressional balance providing a reliable firewall and limited time remaining before 2027, traders price near-certain continuity. Shifts could still arise from an unexpected post-election supermajority or a major unforeseen scandal that broadens legislative consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3% шанс
$83,706 Обс.
$83,706 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
3% шанс
$83,706 Обс.
$83,706 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus reflects the structural and historical barriers to removing any STF justice.** Impeachment requires Senate approval by a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) followed by conviction, a threshold never met for an STF minister in Brazilian history. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates, including calls targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has produced multiple formal requests, yet these face entrenched institutional resistance and lack the cross-party support needed for advancement. STF decano Gilmar Mendes has publicly characterized the push as an electoral banner that would encounter “immense difficulties” even with Senate turnover after the October 2026 elections. With the current congressional balance providing a reliable firewall and limited time remaining before 2027, traders price near-certain continuity. Shifts could still arise from an unexpected post-election supermajority or a major unforeseen scandal that broadens legislative consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$83,706Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus reflects the structural and historical barriers to removing any STF justice.** Impeachment requires Senate approval by a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) followed by conviction, a threshold never met for an STF minister in Brazilian history. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates, including calls targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has produced multiple formal requests, yet these face entrenched institutional resistance and lack the cross-party support needed for advancement. STF decano Gilmar Mendes has publicly characterized the push as an electoral banner that would encounter “immense difficulties” even with Senate turnover after the October 2026 elections. With the current congressional balance providing a reliable firewall and limited time remaining before 2027, traders price near-certain continuity. Shifts could still arise from an unexpected post-election supermajority or a major unforeseen scandal that broadens legislative consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$83,706Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus reflects the structural and historical barriers to removing any STF justice.** Impeachment requires Senate approval by a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) followed by conviction, a threshold never met for an STF minister in Brazilian history. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates, including calls targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has produced multiple formal requests, yet these face entrenched institutional resistance and lack the cross-party support needed for advancement. STF decano Gilmar Mendes has publicly characterized the push as an electoral banner that would encounter “immense difficulties” even with Senate turnover after the October 2026 elections. With the current congressional balance providing a reliable firewall and limited time remaining before 2027, traders price near-certain continuity. Shifts could still arise from an unexpected post-election supermajority or a major unforeseen scandal that broadens legislative consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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