Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоApple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
94% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
94% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, explicitly framed around major iPhone launches, has driven the 74% market-implied probability that a foldable model will be announced. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Mark Gurman, confirm the device—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design, roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free OLED—is on track for unveiling alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This aligns with Apple’s pattern of using September keynotes for flagship hardware and positions the foldable as the event’s headline “surprise,” though final confirmation awaits the live stream.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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