The ongoing Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, has produced several thousand confirmed cases with a case fatality ratio near 47 percent, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces amid conflict and displacement. Despite rapid early growth exceeding prior DRC outbreaks, surveillance data through mid-August show only sporadic imported cases in Uganda (now declared over) and Europe, with no sustained community transmission outside Africa and overall global risk assessed as low by WHO and CDC monitoring. Strong border controls, contact tracing, and historical patterns of Ebola containment underpin trader consensus that the event will not meet pandemic thresholds by year-end. Escalation could still occur if unidentified chains expand or funding shortfalls hinder response scaling before the next model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% шанс
$700,516 Обс.
$700,516 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
4% шанс
$700,516 Обс.
$700,516 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, has produced several thousand confirmed cases with a case fatality ratio near 47 percent, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces amid conflict and displacement. Despite rapid early growth exceeding prior DRC outbreaks, surveillance data through mid-August show only sporadic imported cases in Uganda (now declared over) and Europe, with no sustained community transmission outside Africa and overall global risk assessed as low by WHO and CDC monitoring. Strong border controls, contact tracing, and historical patterns of Ebola containment underpin trader consensus that the event will not meet pandemic thresholds by year-end. Escalation could still occur if unidentified chains expand or funding shortfalls hinder response scaling before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$700,516Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, has produced several thousand confirmed cases with a case fatality ratio near 47 percent, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces amid conflict and displacement. Despite rapid early growth exceeding prior DRC outbreaks, surveillance data through mid-August show only sporadic imported cases in Uganda (now declared over) and Europe, with no sustained community transmission outside Africa and overall global risk assessed as low by WHO and CDC monitoring. Strong border controls, contact tracing, and historical patterns of Ebola containment underpin trader consensus that the event will not meet pandemic thresholds by year-end. Escalation could still occur if unidentified chains expand or funding shortfalls hinder response scaling before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$700,516Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, has produced several thousand confirmed cases with a case fatality ratio near 47 percent, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces amid conflict and displacement. Despite rapid early growth exceeding prior DRC outbreaks, surveillance data through mid-August show only sporadic imported cases in Uganda (now declared over) and Europe, with no sustained community transmission outside Africa and overall global risk assessed as low by WHO and CDC monitoring. Strong border controls, contact tracing, and historical patterns of Ebola containment underpin trader consensus that the event will not meet pandemic thresholds by year-end. Escalation could still occur if unidentified chains expand or funding shortfalls hinder response scaling before the next model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання