Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions in both chambers to extend federal funding at current levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 expiration of fiscal year 2026 appropriations. The House approved its measure in July, followed by Senate passage of a parallel version in early August with broad support. These steps, driven by the approach of November midterms and the desire to sidestep operational disruptions, build on prior patterns of using stopgap measures when full-year bills face delays. With procedural momentum and cross-aisle coordination on appropriations already evident, traders assign an 87.5% implied probability to no lapse occurring on October 1.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено16% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 1, 2026
16% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions in both chambers to extend federal funding at current levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 expiration of fiscal year 2026 appropriations. The House approved its measure in July, followed by Senate passage of a parallel version in early August with broad support. These steps, driven by the approach of November midterms and the desire to sidestep operational disruptions, build on prior patterns of using stopgap measures when full-year bills face delays. With procedural momentum and cross-aisle coordination on appropriations already evident, traders assign an 87.5% implied probability to no lapse occurring on October 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,340Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions in both chambers to extend federal funding at current levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 expiration of fiscal year 2026 appropriations. The House approved its measure in July, followed by Senate passage of a parallel version in early August with broad support. These steps, driven by the approach of November midterms and the desire to sidestep operational disruptions, build on prior patterns of using stopgap measures when full-year bills face delays. With procedural momentum and cross-aisle coordination on appropriations already evident, traders assign an 87.5% implied probability to no lapse occurring on October 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,340Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions in both chambers to extend federal funding at current levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 expiration of fiscal year 2026 appropriations. The House approved its measure in July, followed by Senate passage of a parallel version in early August with broad support. These steps, driven by the approach of November midterms and the desire to sidestep operational disruptions, build on prior patterns of using stopgap measures when full-year bills face delays. With procedural momentum and cross-aisle coordination on appropriations already evident, traders assign an 87.5% implied probability to no lapse occurring on October 1.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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