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icon for GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?

GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?

icon for GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?

GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?

Up

50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ

Up

50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

"GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?" — це щоденний ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції на те, чи ціна GPU rental prices закриється вище ("Up") або нижче ("Down") за початкову ціну протягом вікна щоденний, вказаного в назві. Поточна ринкова ймовірність — 50% для "Up". Ціна 50% означає, що ринок колективно оцінює цей результат з ймовірністю 50%. Ціни оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі рухи ціни GPU rental prices. Акції правильного результату можна обміняти на $1 кожну після вирішення.

"GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?" — це активний короткостроковий ринок на Polymarket. Торговий обсяг може швидко накопичуватися по мірі просування вікна щоденний — заходьте рано, щоб допомогти встановити шанси до закриття вікна.

Щоб торгувати на "GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?", вирішіть, чи ціна GPU rental prices опівдні ET July 31 буде вищою ("Up") або нижчою ("Down") за ціну GPU rental prices опівдні ET July 10. Купуйте "Up" якщо вважаєте, що ціна зросте день до дня, або "Down" якщо впаде. Введіть суму та натисніть "Trade". Правильний результат — $1.00 за акцію. Неправильний — $0.

Поточна ймовірність для "GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?" — 50% для "Up", що означає: спільнота Polymarket наразі оцінює ймовірність того, що ціна GPU rental prices закриється up протягом цього вікна щоденний, як 50%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі дані цін GPU rental prices. Протягом дня шанси відображають настрої, що змінюються по мірі розгортання цінової дії. Повертайтеся частіше або торгуйте зараз, поки вікно не закрилося.

Ринок "GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?" вирішується порівнянням ціни GPU rental prices опівдні ET July 31 з опівднем ET July 10, використовуючи хвилинні свічки Binance GPU-RENTAL-PRICES-H100/USDT. Якщо ціна July 31 опівдні вища — "Up"; нижча — "Down"; рівна — ринок вирішується 50-50. Деталі в розділі "Rules".