Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—and incumbent Rep. Ed Case's commanding fundraising lead over primary challengers State Rep. Della Au Belatti and State Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole. Recent April 2026 reports highlight Case's substantial cash advantage, with challengers criticizing his PAC donations amid undecided voters in a November 2025 poll narrowly favoring the incumbent. No credible Republican nominee has emerged, underscoring historical GOP weakness in this urban Oahu seat. The August 8 Democratic primary looms as the key near-term event, though a post-primary scandal, nominee meltdown, or national Republican wave could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$23,749 Обс.
$23,749 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$23,749 Обс.
$23,749 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,341 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$13,408 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—and incumbent Rep. Ed Case's commanding fundraising lead over primary challengers State Rep. Della Au Belatti and State Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole. Recent April 2026 reports highlight Case's substantial cash advantage, with challengers criticizing his PAC donations amid undecided voters in a November 2025 poll narrowly favoring the incumbent. No credible Republican nominee has emerged, underscoring historical GOP weakness in this urban Oahu seat. The August 8 Democratic primary looms as the key near-term event, though a post-primary scandal, nominee meltdown, or national Republican wave could theoretically challenge the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,749Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—and incumbent Rep. Ed Case's commanding fundraising lead over primary challengers State Rep. Della Au Belatti and State Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole. Recent April 2026 reports highlight Case's substantial cash advantage, with challengers criticizing his PAC donations amid undecided voters in a November 2025 poll narrowly favoring the incumbent. No credible Republican nominee has emerged, underscoring historical GOP weakness in this urban Oahu seat. The August 8 Democratic primary looms as the key near-term event, though a post-primary scandal, nominee meltdown, or national Republican wave could theoretically challenge the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,749Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—and incumbent Rep. Ed Case's commanding fundraising lead over primary challengers State Rep. Della Au Belatti and State Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole. Recent April 2026 reports highlight Case's substantial cash advantage, with challengers criticizing his PAC donations amid undecided voters in a November 2025 poll narrowly favoring the incumbent. No credible Republican nominee has emerged, underscoring historical GOP weakness in this urban Oahu seat. The August 8 Democratic primary looms as the key near-term event, though a post-primary scandal, nominee meltdown, or national Republican wave could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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