Anthropic's latest frontier models, including Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, have driven recent gains on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question graduate-level benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and other domains released in early 2026. These releases feature enhanced reasoning modes and tool use that have pushed Claude variants to the top of leaderboards, with scores reported between 55% and 65% depending on evaluation settings—well ahead of OpenAI and Google competitors. Competitive pressure from rapid iteration across labs, combined with Anthropic's emphasis on chain-of-thought and agentic capabilities, explains the current trader consensus. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include potential new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift the highest Claude score before 2026 closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$60,462 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
56%
65%+
16%
70%+
9%
75%+
6%
$60,462 Обс.
55%+
$15,464 Обс.
86%
60%+
$24,077 Обс.
56%
65%+
$17,345 Обс.
16%
70%+
$2,555 Обс.
9%
75%+
$1,021 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's latest frontier models, including Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, have driven recent gains on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question graduate-level benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and other domains released in early 2026. These releases feature enhanced reasoning modes and tool use that have pushed Claude variants to the top of leaderboards, with scores reported between 55% and 65% depending on evaluation settings—well ahead of OpenAI and Google competitors. Competitive pressure from rapid iteration across labs, combined with Anthropic's emphasis on chain-of-thought and agentic capabilities, explains the current trader consensus. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include potential new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift the highest Claude score before 2026 closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,462Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's latest frontier models, including Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, have driven recent gains on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question graduate-level benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and other domains released in early 2026. These releases feature enhanced reasoning modes and tool use that have pushed Claude variants to the top of leaderboards, with scores reported between 55% and 65% depending on evaluation settings—well ahead of OpenAI and Google competitors. Competitive pressure from rapid iteration across labs, combined with Anthropic's emphasis on chain-of-thought and agentic capabilities, explains the current trader consensus. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include potential new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift the highest Claude score before 2026 closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$60,462Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's latest frontier models, including Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, have driven recent gains on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question graduate-level benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and other domains released in early 2026. These releases feature enhanced reasoning modes and tool use that have pushed Claude variants to the top of leaderboards, with scores reported between 55% and 65% depending on evaluation settings—well ahead of OpenAI and Google competitors. Competitive pressure from rapid iteration across labs, combined with Anthropic's emphasis on chain-of-thought and agentic capabilities, explains the current trader consensus. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include potential new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift the highest Claude score before 2026 closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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