Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 11?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
89°F or below
$68 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$148 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$111 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$63 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$131 Обс.
6%
98-99°F
$568 Обс.
57%
100-101°F
$143 Обс.
34%
102-103°F
$69 Обс.
6%
104-105°F
$68 Обс.
5%
106-107°F
$35 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$158 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,561Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,561Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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