Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 3?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 22%
104-105°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 22%
104-105°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
95°F or below
$25 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$294 Обс.
7%
98-99°F
$323 Обс.
29%
100-101°F
$238 Обс.
37%
102-103°F
$112 Обс.
22%
104-105°F
$65 Обс.
7%
106-107°F
$135 Обс.
1%
108-109°F
$58 Обс.
1%
110-111°F
$25 Обс.
1%
112-113°F
$45 Обс.
<1%
114°F or higher
$193 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,514Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,514Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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