Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny intervals with isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s passage and ensuing subsidence that tempered extremes from prior 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology and model consensus favor peaks around 31–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 33°C. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would favor the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher remain minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$100,627 Обс.
$100,627 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$100,627 Обс.
$100,627 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$949 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$3,782 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$11,502 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$16,743 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$27,600 Обс.
100%
34°C
$17,729 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$14,558 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$4,112 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,404 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny intervals with isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s passage and ensuing subsidence that tempered extremes from prior 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology and model consensus favor peaks around 31–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 33°C. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would favor the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher remain minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$100,627Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny intervals with isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s passage and ensuing subsidence that tempered extremes from prior 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology and model consensus favor peaks around 31–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 33°C. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would favor the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher remain minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$100,627Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny intervals with isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s passage and ensuing subsidence that tempered extremes from prior 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology and model consensus favor peaks around 31–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 33°C. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would favor the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher remain minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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