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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?

28°C 35%

29°C 29%

27°C 20%

30°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

28°C 35%

29°C 29%

27°C 20%

30°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$797 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$381 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$717 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$86 Обс.

1%

26°C

$128 Обс.

5%

27°C

$371 Обс.

20%

28°C

$151 Обс.

35%

29°C

$793 Обс.

29%

30°C

$298 Обс.

8%

31°C

$525 Обс.

5%

32°C or higher

$223 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$4,471
Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$4,471
Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «28°C» з 35%, далі «29°C» з 29%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» — «28°C» з 35%. Наступний — «29°C» з 29%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.