**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 13?
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
34%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$5 Обс.
1%
30°C
$32 Обс.
1%
31°C
$29 Обс.
4%
32°C
$17 Обс.
27%
33°C
$16 Обс.
34%
34°C
$0 Обс.
30%
35°C
$0 Обс.
12%
36°C
$0 Обс.
4%
37°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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