Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C in Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with a low rain probability of just 10% and typical southwest monsoon humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs range 30–33°C as the wet season begins, supported by consistent model outputs showing limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects trader confidence in these verified observational standards and resolution criteria. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected rapid intensification of convection or localized measurement variance at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make significant deviation improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$25,007 Обс.
$25,007 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$25,007 Обс.
$25,007 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$372 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$537 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,045 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,972 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$3,325 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,974 Обс.
100%
34°C
$3,405 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$2,958 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$3,471 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,201 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C in Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with a low rain probability of just 10% and typical southwest monsoon humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs range 30–33°C as the wet season begins, supported by consistent model outputs showing limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects trader confidence in these verified observational standards and resolution criteria. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected rapid intensification of convection or localized measurement variance at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make significant deviation improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,007Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C in Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with a low rain probability of just 10% and typical southwest monsoon humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs range 30–33°C as the wet season begins, supported by consistent model outputs showing limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects trader confidence in these verified observational standards and resolution criteria. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected rapid intensification of convection or localized measurement variance at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make significant deviation improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25,007Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C in Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with a low rain probability of just 10% and typical southwest monsoon humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs range 30–33°C as the wet season begins, supported by consistent model outputs showing limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects trader confidence in these verified observational standards and resolution criteria. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected rapid intensification of convection or localized measurement variance at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make significant deviation improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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