Market-implied odds show a tight split between 90-91°F (44.5%) and 92-93°F (39.5%) for Miami’s peak temperature on August 9, reflecting forecast uncertainty in typical late-summer conditions. NOAA guidance and regional models indicate a baseline high near 90°F amid southeast flow, high moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often triggers scattered thunderstorms capable of capping temperatures. Clearer intervals or delayed convection could allow readings to reach the low 90s, while stronger storms or increased cloud cover would favor the lower bin. Historical August normals hover around 88-91°F, with day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and boundary-layer moisture; updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 9?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 9?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
77°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$12 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$12 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$5 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$26 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$6 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$3 Обс.
13%
90-91°F
$22 Обс.
45%
92-93°F
$106 Обс.
40%
94-95°F
$123 Обс.
4%
96°F or higher
$11 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show a tight split between 90-91°F (44.5%) and 92-93°F (39.5%) for Miami’s peak temperature on August 9, reflecting forecast uncertainty in typical late-summer conditions. NOAA guidance and regional models indicate a baseline high near 90°F amid southeast flow, high moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often triggers scattered thunderstorms capable of capping temperatures. Clearer intervals or delayed convection could allow readings to reach the low 90s, while stronger storms or increased cloud cover would favor the lower bin. Historical August normals hover around 88-91°F, with day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and boundary-layer moisture; updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$338Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show a tight split between 90-91°F (44.5%) and 92-93°F (39.5%) for Miami’s peak temperature on August 9, reflecting forecast uncertainty in typical late-summer conditions. NOAA guidance and regional models indicate a baseline high near 90°F amid southeast flow, high moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often triggers scattered thunderstorms capable of capping temperatures. Clearer intervals or delayed convection could allow readings to reach the low 90s, while stronger storms or increased cloud cover would favor the lower bin. Historical August normals hover around 88-91°F, with day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and boundary-layer moisture; updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$338Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds show a tight split between 90-91°F (44.5%) and 92-93°F (39.5%) for Miami’s peak temperature on August 9, reflecting forecast uncertainty in typical late-summer conditions. NOAA guidance and regional models indicate a baseline high near 90°F amid southeast flow, high moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often triggers scattered thunderstorms capable of capping temperatures. Clearer intervals or delayed convection could allow readings to reach the low 90s, while stronger storms or increased cloud cover would favor the lower bin. Historical August normals hover around 88-91°F, with day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and boundary-layer moisture; updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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