Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Moscow’s maximum temperature on September 9 hovering near the 20–21 °C threshold, producing the near-even market split. Light southwesterly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak heating, while the broader warming trend—driven by a southward shift in the jet stream—lifts values several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 17.7 °C. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and the next model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap before observations finalize the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 43%
20°C 42%
22°C 10%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
42%
21°C
43%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 42%
22°C 10%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$296 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$296 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$310 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$176 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$602 Обс.
2%
19°C
$275 Обс.
7%
20°C
$893 Обс.
42%
21°C
$1,089 Обс.
43%
22°C
$949 Обс.
10%
23°C
$499 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$311 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Moscow’s maximum temperature on September 9 hovering near the 20–21 °C threshold, producing the near-even market split. Light southwesterly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak heating, while the broader warming trend—driven by a southward shift in the jet stream—lifts values several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 17.7 °C. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and the next model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap before observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,695Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Moscow’s maximum temperature on September 9 hovering near the 20–21 °C threshold, producing the near-even market split. Light southwesterly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak heating, while the broader warming trend—driven by a southward shift in the jet stream—lifts values several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 17.7 °C. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and the next model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap before observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,695Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Moscow’s maximum temperature on September 9 hovering near the 20–21 °C threshold, producing the near-even market split. Light southwesterly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak heating, while the broader warming trend—driven by a southward shift in the jet stream—lifts values several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 17.7 °C. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and the next model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap before observations finalize the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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