Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers. These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 19?
36°C 36%
37°C 35%
38°C 14%
35°C 12%
НОВЕ
$16,558 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,558 Обс.
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
7%
35°C
12%
36°C
36%
37°C
35%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
37°C 35%
38°C 14%
35°C 12%
НОВЕ
$16,558 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,558 Обс.
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
$2,638 Обс.
1%
34°C
$3,061 Обс.
7%
35°C
$2,805 Обс.
12%
36°C
$1,334 Обс.
36%
37°C
$1,980 Обс.
35%
38°C
$1,679 Обс.
14%
39°C
$1,317 Обс.
2%
40°C
$259 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$492 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$574 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$436 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers.
These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,558Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers.
These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,558Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers. These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання