Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,603 Обс.
$78,603 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,603 Обс.
$78,603 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,510 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,780 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,332 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,408 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,721 Обс.
No
30°C
$4,369 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,230 Обс.
No
32°C
$8,955 Обс.
No
33°C
$7,971 Обс.
No
34°C
$9,135 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$21,192 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,603Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,603Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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