Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
15°C 36%
14°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
17%
15°C
36%
16°C
16%
17°C
10%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 36%
14°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
11°C
$5 Обс.
1%
12°C
$65 Обс.
1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
11%
14°C
$48 Обс.
17%
15°C
$66 Обс.
36%
16°C
$0 Обс.
16%
17°C
$0 Обс.
10%
18°C
$8 Обс.
4%
19°C
$15 Обс.
3%
20°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$228Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$228Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання