Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 66-67°F (39%) and 68-69°F (38%) for downtown Los Angeles' official high temperature on May 16, mirroring National Weather Service forecast ensembles from recent GFS and ECMWF runs that cluster daytime peaks in the upper 60s amid persistent May Gray conditions. A deepening marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow—evident in today's partly cloudy skies and highs near 73°F—limits solar heating, with low stratocumulus decks slow to burn off before afternoon. Differentiation hinges on clearing timing and wind shear: prolonged clouds favor 66-67°F, while earlier dissipation or ridge strengthening could push toward 68-69°F or rarely 70+. Watch NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
68-69°F 40%
66-67°F 39%
70-71°F 10%
64-65°F 8%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
10%
72°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 40%
66-67°F 39%
70-71°F 10%
64-65°F 8%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
10%
72°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 66-67°F (39%) and 68-69°F (38%) for downtown Los Angeles' official high temperature on May 16, mirroring National Weather Service forecast ensembles from recent GFS and ECMWF runs that cluster daytime peaks in the upper 60s amid persistent May Gray conditions. A deepening marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow—evident in today's partly cloudy skies and highs near 73°F—limits solar heating, with low stratocumulus decks slow to burn off before afternoon. Differentiation hinges on clearing timing and wind shear: prolonged clouds favor 66-67°F, while earlier dissipation or ridge strengthening could push toward 68-69°F or rarely 70+. Watch NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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