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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

29°C or higher 41%

25°C 20%

26°C 20%

27°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

29°C or higher 41%

25°C 20%

26°C 20%

27°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

19°C or below

$0 Обс.

1%

20°C

$0 Обс.

11%

21°C

$0 Обс.

12%

22°C

$0 Обс.

14%

23°C

$0 Обс.

16%

24°C

$0 Обс.

19%

25°C

$0 Обс.

20%

26°C

$0 Обс.

20%

27°C

$0 Обс.

20%

28°C

$0 Обс.

18%

29°C or higher

$0 Обс.

41%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
May 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
May 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «29°C or higher» з 41%, далі «25°C» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?» — «29°C or higher» з 41%. Наступний — «25°C» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.