Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. Mid-May climatological normals average around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds enable enhanced solar insolation to push temperatures modestly above baseline. These factors sustain the tight contest between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with traders watching final 12-hour model updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the exact peak by one degree. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 73%
28°C 26%
29°C 2.8%
30°C <1%
$93,546 Обс.
$93,546 Обс.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
73%
28°C
26%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 73%
28°C 26%
29°C 2.8%
30°C <1%
$93,546 Обс.
$93,546 Обс.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$5,054 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$6,253 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$7,179 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$17,068 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$15,986 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$12,217 Обс.
73%
28°C
$6,632 Обс.
26%
29°C
$9,101 Обс.
3%
30°C
$8,767 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$5,093 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. Mid-May climatological normals average around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds enable enhanced solar insolation to push temperatures modestly above baseline. These factors sustain the tight contest between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with traders watching final 12-hour model updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the exact peak by one degree. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$93,546Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. Mid-May climatological normals average around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds enable enhanced solar insolation to push temperatures modestly above baseline. These factors sustain the tight contest between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with traders watching final 12-hour model updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the exact peak by one degree. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$93,546Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. Mid-May climatological normals average around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds enable enhanced solar insolation to push temperatures modestly above baseline. These factors sustain the tight contest between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with traders watching final 12-hour model updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the exact peak by one degree. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання